Self-Employment Dynamics, State Dependence and Cross-Mobility Patterns

AuthorsCaliendo, M. and Uhlendorff, A.
Year2008
ReferenceIZA Discussion Paper No. 3900, Bonn.
KeywordsSelf-Employment, State Dependence, Labor Market Dynamics, Unobserved Heteroegeneity
JEL-Classification J64, L26, C23, C25
Presentations2007 EEA in Budapest, 2007 EALE in Oslo, 2008 ESPE in London, 2008 Verein fuer Socialpolitik in Graz
DownloadIZA Discussion Paper from December 2008: PDF-DokumentPDF
AbstractThis paper analyzes self-employment dynamics in West Germany over the time period 1984-2004. Using dynamic multinomial logit panel data models with random effects we are able to analyze the mobility between self-employment, wage employment and non-employment. This allows us to draw conclusions about state dependence and cross-mobility patterns. The results indicate strong true state dependence in all three states. The probability to enter self-employment is higher for not employed individuals when compared to individuals in wage employment. However, compared to wage employment, self-employment goes along with a higher risk of non-employment in the next period. Moreover, the transition probabilities vary with education, age, intergenerational links and macro-economic conditions.