The Effect of Active Labor Market Programs on Not-Yet Treated Unemployed Individuals

Authorsvan den Berg, G.J, Bergemann, A. and Caliendo, M.
Year2009
ReferenceJournal of the European Economic Association (P&P), 7(2-3), 606-616.
KeywordsPolicy evaluation, reservation wage, search effort, expectations, unemployment duration, program evaluation, active labor market policy, identification
JEL-ClassificationJ64, C21, D83, D84
PresentationsEEA, Milano 2008.
DownloadIZA Discussion Paper from November 2008: PDF-DokumentPDF
AbstractLabor market programs may affect unemployed individuals’ behavior before they enroll. Such ex ante effects are hard to identify without model assumptions. We develop a novel method that relates self-reported treatment rates and job search behavioral outcomes, like the reservation wage, among newly unemployed workers. We use job search theory to derive theoretical predictions. To deal with effect heterogeneity and selectivity, we advocate propensity score matching to estimate the effects of interest. We apply the method to the German ALMP system, using a novel data set including self-reported assessments of the variables of interest as well as an unusually detailed amount of information on behavior, attitudes, and past outcomes. We find that the system generates a negative ex ante effect on the reservation wage and a positive effect on search effort.